Half Baked Newsletter August 12th-2.jpg

The Idea

In 2018, apple cider vinegar was one of the most searched wellness ingredients on the internet and one of the least consumed. People read the studies, bought the bottle, took two shots, and quit. It tasted like something you'd use to strip a floor.

Michael Bitensky, a Montreal entrepreneur, looked at that drop-off and drew a different conclusion to everyone else in the supplement aisle. The ingredient wasn't the problem. The delivery was. Nobody quits a gummy.

So he went hunting for a manufacturer who could hide the vinegar without losing it. The answer was pectin, pulled from orange peel rather than the usual animal gelatin, wrapped around real ACV and flavoured to taste like apples. Vegan, organic, kosher, and patent pending. Bitensky brought in Deepak Agarwal, a serial e-commerce operator, to get it off the ground, and set up shop in West Hollywood with a five word promise printed on every bottle: taste the apple, not the vinegar.

This was the beginning of Goli.

The Execution

The lesson?

Goli built one of the fastest demand engines consumer goods has ever seen, and the forecast almost killed it. The $750 million number was doing double duty as a sales pitch and a purchase order, so when the real figure landed at $438 million the gap took out a factory, triggered a $200 million lawsuit and pushed a top 25 supplement brand into creditor protection inside three years. The demand, though, was always real. That's why the same playbook, moved onto TikTok Shop, put the brand back at number one. Goli never had a demand problem. It nearly died of a spreadsheet.